Welcome! I’m a 1st year Doctoral Candidate at the Research Training Group DYNAMICS, which is jointly organised by the Hertie School and Humboldt-University Berlin. At the Hertie School, I’m affiliated with the Research Project on “Election Forecasts for the German Federal Election 2025” as a Research Associate.
My research focusses on party politics and political behaviour in established democracies, engaging with work on public opinion. In my dissertation project, which is supervised by Prof. Dr. Simon Munzert and Prof. Dr. Heike Klüver, I study the behavioural and attitudinal consequences of election polling. Methodologically, I specialise in econometric and experimental research designs and in techniques for quantitative text analysis.
When do politicians debate each other in parliament, and when do they prefer to avoid discourse? While existing research has shown MPs to unilaterally leverage the dialogical nature of legislative debates to their advantage, the circumstances facilitating actual discursive interaction have so far received less attention. We introduce a new framework to study the emergence of discourse in political debates. Applying this framework, we expect ideological differences and government-opposition dynamics to shape politicians’ choices about seeking or avoiding discourse. To test these hypotheses, we draw on an original dataset of all 14,595 attempted and successful interventions (Zwischenfragen) — extraordinary, voluntary discursive exchanges between speakers and MPs in the audience — in the German Bundestag (1990-2020), extracted using an annotation pipeline developed specifically for this study. We find that MPs separated by diverging preferences seek discourse with one another more often than their ideologically aligned counterparts. At the same time, these exact attempts do less frequently result in discursive interactions. When considering government-opposition dynamics in this process, we observe very similar patterns: Attempts to initiate discourse are particularly common among opposition MPs facing government speakers, and we find tentative evidence suggesting that government actors are most likely to avoid these invitations to discursive interaction. Our findings have important implications for our understanding of elite behaviour in public environments.
@article{kochkupfer2025,title={The Politics of Seeking and Avoiding Discourse in Parliament},journaltitle={European Journal of Political Research},shortjournal={EJPR},author={Koch, Elias and Kuepfer, Andreas},data={https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/8K9NAN},doi={10.1111/1475-6765.70013},date={2025-02-06},type={article},year={2025},volume={},pages={},note={<i>European Journal of Political Research (EJPR, forthcoming)</I>}}
StatePol – A Database on the Members of German State Cabinets and Parliaments
This research note introduces StatePol, a new and comprehensive database of German state politicians in parliaments and governments. StatePol includes sociodemographic characteristics such as age, sex, and birthplace, as well as career data such as memberships and offices in parliamentary party groups, committees, parliamentary presidencies, and government cabinets for every parliamentary and cabinet member on the German state level. The added value of the database lies in the fact that it offers highly fine-grained data capturing day-by-day changes within legislative periods. As a result, StatePol contains a total of 22,379,186 daily observations of 6946 individual decision-makers in the German federal states, including information on their positions and mandates in legislative and executive realms. We illustrate potential applications of StatePol by exploring the descriptive representation of sex, age, and regional origin (eastern/western Germany) in the German states. We find that the proportion of women in the state parliaments has stagnated at around 30% since the early 2000s, with considerable differences between parties and their parliamentary groups. We also observe a steady increase in the average age of the members of parliament, particularly among those of the Greens and the Left. While politicians of East German origin dominate in the parliaments and governments of the East German states, they are less represented in West German state parliaments and governments. In contrast, decision-makers born in West Germany consistently make up a substantial proportion of all state cabinet members. The database is publicly available, allowing researchers to comprehensively examine various questions on representation in the German context. This research note is accompanied by a homepage allowing users to explore the full potential of StatePol and to download the data.
@article{koch_statepol_2024,title={{StatePol} – A Database on the Members of German State Cabinets and Parliaments},url={https://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11615-024-00528-z},doi={10.1007/s11615-024-00528-z},journaltitle={Politische Vierteljahresschrift},shortjournal={Polit Vierteljahresschr},author={Koch, Elias and Kuhlen, Daniel and Mueller, Jochen and Stecker, Christian},date={2024-02-06},type={article},data={https://statepol.github.io/Database/},year={2024},volume={65},pages={759--783},note={<i>German Political Science Quarterly (PVS)</i>},}